Skip to main content
icon for Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?

Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?

icon for Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?

Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?

Да

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$27,608 Объем

Да

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$27,608 Объем

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election produced final results showing the Partido Popular securing 53 seats in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55-seat threshold for an absolute majority. This outcome followed a campaign focused on regional governance issues such as health services, unemployment, and security, with the PP retaining the largest share of the vote at 41.6 percent but losing five seats from its 2022 total. The PSOE recorded its weakest regional performance in decades with 28 seats, while Vox captured 15 seats, positioning it as a potential partner for government formation. High turnout above 64 percent reinforced the seat distribution, aligning trader consensus on the low probability of a solo PP majority with the confirmed electoral arithmetic.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Объем
$27,608
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election produced final results showing the Partido Popular securing 53 seats in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55-seat threshold for an absolute majority. This outcome followed a campaign focused on regional governance issues such as health services, unemployment, and security, with the PP retaining the largest share of the vote at 41.6 percent but losing five seats from its 2022 total. The PSOE recorded its weakest regional performance in decades with 28 seats, while Vox captured 15 seats, positioning it as a potential partner for government formation. High turnout above 64 percent reinforced the seat distribution, aligning trader consensus on the low probability of a solo PP majority with the confirmed electoral arithmetic.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Объем
$27,608
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Выборы в Андалусии: Абсолютное большинство у Народной партии?» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 8¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 8%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $27.6K с момента запуска рынка Apr 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?» — «Выборы в Андалусии: Абсолютное большинство у Народной партии?» всего с 8%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Андалусии: абсолютное большинство ПП?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.