Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,454 Объем
$18,454 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$18,454 Объем
$18,454 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,750 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$6,705 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$18,454Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,454Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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