California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, primary confirmed incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's advancement with a substantial vote share, while Republican candidates trailed significantly, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments affecting the Democratic nominee, though structural advantages make such scenarios unlikely without major disruptions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,953 Объем
$17,953 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$17,953 Объем
$17,953 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,249 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$6,705 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, primary confirmed incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's advancement with a substantial vote share, while Republican candidates trailed significantly, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments affecting the Democratic nominee, though structural advantages make such scenarios unlikely without major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$17,953Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, primary confirmed incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's advancement with a substantial vote share, while Republican candidates trailed significantly, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments affecting the Democratic nominee, though structural advantages make such scenarios unlikely without major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$17,953Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, primary confirmed incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's advancement with a substantial vote share, while Republican candidates trailed significantly, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential elections. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments affecting the Democratic nominee, though structural advantages make such scenarios unlikely without major disruptions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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