Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Republican challenger Jeff Frese, advancing both to the November general election. CA-10's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in the East Bay and Central Valley areas, underpins the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and fundraising advantages. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in this district make an upset improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,633 Объем
$19,633 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$19,633 Объем
$19,633 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,007 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$7,626 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Republican challenger Jeff Frese, advancing both to the November general election. CA-10's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in the East Bay and Central Valley areas, underpins the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and fundraising advantages. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in this district make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$19,633Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Republican challenger Jeff Frese, advancing both to the November general election. CA-10's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in the East Bay and Central Valley areas, underpins the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and fundraising advantages. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in this district make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,633Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Republican challenger Jeff Frese, advancing both to the November general election. CA-10's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in the East Bay and Central Valley areas, underpins the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and fundraising advantages. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in this district make an upset improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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