Market icon

Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?

Market icon

Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?

26% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
26% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, including a claim under review by the Manhattan district attorney's office, have prompted the House Ethics Committee to launch a probe into Rep. Eric Swalwell on April 13, fueling trader uncertainty in this closely contested market. Revived scrutiny of his past association with suspected Chinese spy Christine Fang, amid FBI file release debates in late March, and a referral to DOJ for alleged mortgage fraud on his D.C. townhouse further complicate his position, though no criminal charges have been filed. With six weeks until the May 31 deadline, odds hinge on whether accusers engage law enforcement leading to indictments or if investigations conclude without action.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$1
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, including a claim under review by the Manhattan district attorney's office, have prompted the House Ethics Committee to launch a probe into Rep. Eric Swalwell on April 13, fueling trader uncertainty in this closely contested market. Revived scrutiny of his past association with suspected Chinese spy Christine Fang, amid FBI file release debates in late March, and a referral to DOJ for alleged mortgage fraud on his D.C. townhouse further complicate his position, though no criminal charges have been filed. With six weeks until the May 31 deadline, odds hinge on whether accusers engage law enforcement leading to indictments or if investigations conclude without action.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$1
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 26% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 26¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 26%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?» составляет 26% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.