Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$123,284 Объем
$123,284 Объем
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$123,284 Объем
$123,284 Объем
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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