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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?

icon for Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?

12°C 100.0%

8°C or below <1%

9°C <1%

10°C <1%

Polymarket

$123,284 Объем

12°C 100.0%

8°C or below <1%

9°C <1%

10°C <1%

Polymarket

$123,284 Объем

8°C or below

$2,134 Объем

No

9°C

$7,785 Объем

No

10°C

$42,651 Объем

No

11°C

$23,305 Объем

No

12°C

$15,669 Объем

Yes

13°C

$11,649 Объем

No

14°C

$10,253 Объем

No

15°C

$3,607 Объем

No

16°C

$1,979 Объем

No

17°C

$1,856 Объем

No

18°C or higher

$2,396 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$123,284
Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$123,284
Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12°C» с 100%, за ним следует «8°C or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $123.3K с момента запуска рынка Apr 18, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?» — «12°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «8°C or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.