**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on July 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 Объем
$189,319 Объем
2 июл. 2026 г.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 Объем
$189,319 Объем
2 июл. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$2,948 Объем
No
30°C
$5,702 Объем
No
31°C
$38,116 Объем
No
32°C
$25,220 Объем
No
33°C
$61,255 Объем
No
34°C
$30,944 Объем
Yes
35°C
$8,882 Объем
No
36°C
$4,382 Объем
No
37°C
$2,617 Объем
No
38°C
$2,951 Объем
No
39°C or higher
$6,301 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$189,319Дата окончания
2 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$189,319Дата окончания
2 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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