Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 4 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 4 июля?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$92,681 Объем
$92,681 Объем
4 июл. 2026 г.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$92,681 Объем
$92,681 Объем
4 июл. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$6,238 Объем
No
27°C
$6,445 Объем
No
28°C
$7,008 Объем
No
29°C
$14,226 Объем
No
30°C
$24,016 Объем
Yes
31°C
$7,517 Объем
No
32°C
$7,421 Объем
No
33°C
$3,448 Объем
No
34°C
$8,265 Объем
No
35°C
$3,369 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$4,728 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$92,681Дата окончания
4 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$92,681Дата окончания
4 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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