Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 12 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 12 июля?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$77,900 Объем
$77,900 Объем
12 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$77,900 Объем
$77,900 Объем
12 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$3,120 Объем
No
29°C
$3,981 Объем
No
30°C
$2,284 Объем
No
31°C
$986 Объем
No
32°C
$11,326 Объем
No
33°C
$16,408 Объем
No
34°C
$8,183 Объем
Yes
35°C
$10,786 Объем
No
36°C
$11,058 Объем
No
37°C
$7,372 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$2,395 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$77,900Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$77,900Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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