Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on June 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 2?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 Объем
$58,312 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 Объем
$58,312 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$281 Объем
No
20°C
$835 Объем
No
21°C
$1,401 Объем
No
22°C
$2,260 Объем
No
23°C
$6,636 Объем
No
24°C
$6,683 Объем
No
25°C
$16,748 Объем
Yes
26°C
$12,687 Объем
No
27°C
$6,323 Объем
No
28°C
$3,244 Объем
No
29°C or higher
$1,214 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$58,312Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$58,312Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы