Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Объем
$80,151 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Объем
$80,151 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
11°C or below
$1,183 Объем
No
12°C
$1,025 Объем
No
13°C
$1,900 Объем
No
14°C
$17,578 Объем
No
15°C
$19,851 Объем
Yes
16°C
$9,532 Объем
No
17°C
$7,701 Объем
No
18°C
$6,986 Объем
No
19°C
$5,726 Объем
No
20°C
$3,700 Объем
No
21°C or higher
$4,969 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$80,151Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$80,151Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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