The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 89°F on April 17 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 88-89°F and 33% on 90-91°F amid close competition. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s—fueled by an upper-level ridge enhancing subsidence warming and warm air advection from the south, building on today's observed highs near 84°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus clouds, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F (16%) or push to 90-91°F if clearer skies prevail; lower bins reflect risks of increased cloudiness. Watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 15%
92-93°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 15%
92-93°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
77°F or below
$2,041 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$684 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$754 Объем
1%
82-83°F
$586 Объем
2%
84-85°F
$641 Объем
6%
86-87°F
$190 Объем
15%
88-89°F
$327 Объем
39%
90-91°F
$490 Объем
34%
92-93°F
$1,309 Объем
8%
94-95°F
$701 Объем
3%
96°F or higher
$1,662 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 89°F on April 17 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 88-89°F and 33% on 90-91°F amid close competition. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s—fueled by an upper-level ridge enhancing subsidence warming and warm air advection from the south, building on today's observed highs near 84°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus clouds, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F (16%) or push to 90-91°F if clearer skies prevail; lower bins reflect risks of increased cloudiness. Watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Объем
$9,369Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 89°F on April 17 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 88-89°F and 33% on 90-91°F amid close competition. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s—fueled by an upper-level ridge enhancing subsidence warming and warm air advection from the south, building on today's observed highs near 84°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus clouds, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F (16%) or push to 90-91°F if clearer skies prevail; lower bins reflect risks of increased cloudiness. Watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,369Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 89°F on April 17 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on 88-89°F and 33% on 90-91°F amid close competition. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s—fueled by an upper-level ridge enhancing subsidence warming and warm air advection from the south, building on today's observed highs near 84°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus clouds, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F (16%) or push to 90-91°F if clearer skies prevail; lower bins reflect risks of increased cloudiness. Watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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