Short-term numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international sources currently indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on July 19 under light easterly to southeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on 14°C (53%) and 13°C (31%), reflecting typical mid-winter variability where small shifts in frontal timing, wind strength, or insolation can alter the peak by 1°C. July climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Recent days, including a confirmed 15°C high on July 14, demonstrate how transient northerly influences can briefly elevate readings above the mean, keeping traders attentive to the next model runs and official MetService updates ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 19 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 19 июля?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,483 Объем
$81,483 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,483 Объем
$81,483 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$512 Объем
No
9°C
$412 Объем
No
10°C
$1,533 Объем
No
11°C
$2,490 Объем
No
12°C
$17,457 Объем
No
13°C
$18,113 Объем
Yes
14°C
$16,688 Объем
No
15°C
$14,496 Объем
No
16°C
$8,112 Объем
No
17°C
$1,216 Объем
No
18°C or higher
$452 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international sources currently indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on July 19 under light easterly to southeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on 14°C (53%) and 13°C (31%), reflecting typical mid-winter variability where small shifts in frontal timing, wind strength, or insolation can alter the peak by 1°C. July climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Recent days, including a confirmed 15°C high on July 14, demonstrate how transient northerly influences can briefly elevate readings above the mean, keeping traders attentive to the next model runs and official MetService updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$81,483Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international sources currently indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on July 19 under light easterly to southeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on 14°C (53%) and 13°C (31%), reflecting typical mid-winter variability where small shifts in frontal timing, wind strength, or insolation can alter the peak by 1°C. July climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Recent days, including a confirmed 15°C high on July 14, demonstrate how transient northerly influences can briefly elevate readings above the mean, keeping traders attentive to the next model runs and official MetService updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$81,483Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Short-term numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international sources currently indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on July 19 under light easterly to southeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on 14°C (53%) and 13°C (31%), reflecting typical mid-winter variability where small shifts in frontal timing, wind strength, or insolation can alter the peak by 1°C. July climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Recent days, including a confirmed 15°C high on July 14, demonstrate how transient northerly influences can briefly elevate readings above the mean, keeping traders attentive to the next model runs and official MetService updates ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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