Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 16 сентября?
25°C 24%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
14%
24°C
21%
25°C
24%
26°C
20%
27°C
8%
28°C или выше
<1%
25°C 24%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
19°C
$100 Объем
4%
20°C
$30 Объем
3%
21°C
$0 Объем
4%
22°C
$0 Объем
10%
23°C
$0 Объем
14%
24°C
$0 Объем
21%
25°C
$0 Объем
24%
26°C
$25 Объем
20%
27°C
$33 Объем
8%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$189Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$189Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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