Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high temperature in Istanbul on September 16 most likely between 21–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds around 10–15 km/h and minimal precipitation. Trader consensus favoring 21–22°C reflects model outputs showing modest cooling from increased cloud cover and stable high pressure, while the 23–25°C share captures scenarios with more sunshine and slight warming. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud fraction, which reduces daytime heating, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF/GFS ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 16 сентября?
22°C 48%
23°C 38%
21°C 35%
25°C 35%
18°C или ниже
31%
19°C
6%
20°C
12%
21°C
35%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
7%
25°C
35%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
8%
22°C 48%
23°C 38%
21°C 35%
25°C 35%
18°C или ниже
31%
19°C
6%
20°C
12%
21°C
35%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
7%
25°C
35%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high temperature in Istanbul on September 16 most likely between 21–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds around 10–15 km/h and minimal precipitation. Trader consensus favoring 21–22°C reflects model outputs showing modest cooling from increased cloud cover and stable high pressure, while the 23–25°C share captures scenarios with more sunshine and slight warming. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud fraction, which reduces daytime heating, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF/GFS ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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