Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a high of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 14 under mostly fine to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where typical daily maxima hover near 14–15°C amid transitional Southern Hemisphere conditions. Trader consensus at 53% for 16°C and 34.5% for 15°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, with only modest upside potential from any late warming. Updated model runs and overnight observations ahead of resolution will refine exact peak readings on the standard thermometer network.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 14 сентября?
16°C 53%
15°C 35%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
35%
16°C
53%
17°C
11%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
1%
16°C 53%
15°C 35%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
35%
16°C
53%
17°C
11%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a high of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 14 under mostly fine to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where typical daily maxima hover near 14–15°C amid transitional Southern Hemisphere conditions. Trader consensus at 53% for 16°C and 34.5% for 15°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, with only modest upside potential from any late warming. Updated model runs and overnight observations ahead of resolution will refine exact peak readings on the standard thermometer network.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы