Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool, rainy day in Cape Town on September 16 driven by a strengthening high-pressure system and southerly flow that advects cooler maritime air, suppressing maximum temperatures. Consensus highs cluster near 15–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market’s emphasis on 17–18°C outcomes while assigning low probability to warmer thresholds. Spring climatology in the region shows typical maxima around 18–19°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing cold front and elevated pressure—favors the lower end. Model runs will be updated frequently over the next 48 hours, with any shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing skies able to alter the daily peak by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 16 сентября?
18°C 48%
17°C 23%
14°C 14%
19°C 13%
11°C или ниже
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
14%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
23%
18°C
48%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C или выше
1%
18°C 48%
17°C 23%
14°C 14%
19°C 13%
11°C или ниже
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
14%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
23%
18°C
48%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool, rainy day in Cape Town on September 16 driven by a strengthening high-pressure system and southerly flow that advects cooler maritime air, suppressing maximum temperatures. Consensus highs cluster near 15–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market’s emphasis on 17–18°C outcomes while assigning low probability to warmer thresholds. Spring climatology in the region shows typical maxima around 18–19°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing cold front and elevated pressure—favors the lower end. Model runs will be updated frequently over the next 48 hours, with any shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing skies able to alter the daily peak by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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