**Forecast models indicate Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely settle between 11–13 °C amid a cool, rainy night influenced by the Benguela Current and strong southeasterly winds.** Recent GFS and other ensemble runs show overnight lows near 12 °C under clearing skies after early precipitation, with radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and wind gusts exceeding 30 km/h. Historical September averages hover around 10–11 °C, but current steering patterns and higher pressure favor slightly milder conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–12 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model consensus on wind-driven mixing and the timing of frontal passage, with new observational data from the South African Weather Service expected to resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 16 сентября?
7°C или ниже 93%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
9°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
93%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
49%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
7°C или ниже 93%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
9°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
93%
8°C
$0 Объем
8%
9°C
$50 Объем
10%
10°C
$10 Объем
48%
11°C
$10 Объем
48%
12°C
$14 Объем
49%
13°C
$252 Объем
<1%
14°C
$0 Объем
<1%
15°C
$0 Объем
<1%
16°C
$0 Объем
<1%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely settle between 11–13 °C amid a cool, rainy night influenced by the Benguela Current and strong southeasterly winds.**
Recent GFS and other ensemble runs show overnight lows near 12 °C under clearing skies after early precipitation, with radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and wind gusts exceeding 30 km/h. Historical September averages hover around 10–11 °C, but current steering patterns and higher pressure favor slightly milder conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–12 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model consensus on wind-driven mixing and the timing of frontal passage, with new observational data from the South African Weather Service expected to resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$336Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely settle between 11–13 °C amid a cool, rainy night influenced by the Benguela Current and strong southeasterly winds.**
Recent GFS and other ensemble runs show overnight lows near 12 °C under clearing skies after early precipitation, with radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and wind gusts exceeding 30 km/h. Historical September averages hover around 10–11 °C, but current steering patterns and higher pressure favor slightly milder conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–12 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model consensus on wind-driven mixing and the timing of frontal passage, with new observational data from the South African Weather Service expected to resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$336Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely settle between 11–13 °C amid a cool, rainy night influenced by the Benguela Current and strong southeasterly winds.** Recent GFS and other ensemble runs show overnight lows near 12 °C under clearing skies after early precipitation, with radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and wind gusts exceeding 30 km/h. Historical September averages hover around 10–11 °C, but current steering patterns and higher pressure favor slightly milder conditions. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–12 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model consensus on wind-driven mixing and the timing of frontal passage, with new observational data from the South African Weather Service expected to resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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