Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 16 июня?
90-91°F 100%
75°F или ниже <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 Объем
$42,434 Объем
75°F или ниже
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Да
92-93°F
Нет
94°F или выше
Нет
90-91°F 100%
75°F или ниже <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 Объем
$42,434 Объем
75°F или ниже
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Да
92-93°F
Нет
94°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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