Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 6?
81°F or below 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,039 Объем
$89,039 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
81°F or below
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
81°F or below 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,039 Объем
$89,039 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
81°F or below
$15,505 Объем
Yes
82-83°F
$8,186 Объем
No
84-85°F
$10,440 Объем
No
86-87°F
$9,675 Объем
No
88-89°F
$9,573 Объем
No
90-91°F
$8,902 Объем
No
92-93°F
$6,078 Объем
No
94-95°F
$6,863 Объем
No
96-97°F
$6,561 Объем
No
98-99°F
$5,548 Объем
No
100°F or higher
$1,708 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
Объем
$89,039Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$89,039Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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