Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 12?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$133,275 Объем
$133,275 Объем
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$133,275 Объем
$133,275 Объем
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 10, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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