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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?

25°C or higher 34%

24°C 31%

23°C 20%

22°C 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

25°C or higher 34%

24°C 31%

23°C 20%

22°C 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

15°C or below

$437 Объем

1%

16°C

$195 Объем

1%

17°C

$203 Объем

2%

18°C

$205 Объем

2%

19°C

$183 Объем

3%

20°C

$219 Объем

3%

21°C

$298 Объем

7%

22°C

$282 Объем

8%

23°C

$180 Объем

17%

24°C

$317 Объем

35%

25°C or higher

$313 Объем

34%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project a maximum temperature near 23°C in Buenos Aires on April 16 under humid conditions with partial sun giving way to increasing clouds and potential evening showers, driving trader consensus toward a tight race among 23°C (28.5% implied probability), 24°C (38.5%), and 25°C or higher (32%). This clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs, where cloud cover timing and southerly wind influences could cap peaks at 23°C or allow brief insolation-driven spikes to 25°C amid the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent early-April heat records have faded with weakening high pressure, aligning with historical April 16 averages around 23°C; watch SMN updates and fresh model outputs on April 15 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,820
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project a maximum temperature near 23°C in Buenos Aires on April 16 under humid conditions with partial sun giving way to increasing clouds and potential evening showers, driving trader consensus toward a tight race among 23°C (28.5% implied probability), 24°C (38.5%), and 25°C or higher (32%). This clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs, where cloud cover timing and southerly wind influences could cap peaks at 23°C or allow brief insolation-driven spikes to 25°C amid the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent early-April heat records have faded with weakening high pressure, aligning with historical April 16 averages around 23°C; watch SMN updates and fresh model outputs on April 15 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,820
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «24°C» с 35%, за ним следует «25°C or higher» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 35¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?» — «24°C» с 35%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Следующий ближайший исход — «25°C or higher» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.