Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C (combined ~77% implied probability) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which project daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 20s amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern (+1°C monthly anomaly per SMN data). Recent developments, including record-high minimums early April and lingering mild air masses from northerly flows, have boosted sentiment for above-climatological averages (typically 21–23°C mid-April), but close odds differentiate outcomes via uncertainties in sea breeze onset, cloud cover variability, and urban heat effects at the Observatorio Central station. New SMN updates and model runs expected April 17 could refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
27°C 29%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
15%
26°C
24%
27°C
29%
28°C
20%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 29%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$1,942 Объем
<1%
21°C
$1,699 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,429 Объем
1%
23°C
$1,414 Объем
1%
24°C
$118 Объем
8%
25°C
$169 Объем
15%
26°C
$94 Объем
24%
27°C
$77 Объем
29%
28°C
$211 Объем
20%
29°C
$168 Объем
13%
30°C or higher
$118 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C (combined ~77% implied probability) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which project daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 20s amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern (+1°C monthly anomaly per SMN data). Recent developments, including record-high minimums early April and lingering mild air masses from northerly flows, have boosted sentiment for above-climatological averages (typically 21–23°C mid-April), but close odds differentiate outcomes via uncertainties in sea breeze onset, cloud cover variability, and urban heat effects at the Observatorio Central station. New SMN updates and model runs expected April 17 could refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Объем
$7,292Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C (combined ~77% implied probability) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which project daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 20s amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern (+1°C monthly anomaly per SMN data). Recent developments, including record-high minimums early April and lingering mild air masses from northerly flows, have boosted sentiment for above-climatological averages (typically 21–23°C mid-April), but close odds differentiate outcomes via uncertainties in sea breeze onset, cloud cover variability, and urban heat effects at the Observatorio Central station. New SMN updates and model runs expected April 17 could refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$7,292Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C (combined ~77% implied probability) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which project daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 20s amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern (+1°C monthly anomaly per SMN data). Recent developments, including record-high minimums early April and lingering mild air masses from northerly flows, have boosted sentiment for above-climatological averages (typically 21–23°C mid-April), but close odds differentiate outcomes via uncertainties in sea breeze onset, cloud cover variability, and urban heat effects at the Observatorio Central station. New SMN updates and model runs expected April 17 could refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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