Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Busan highs near 26–27°C for June 29 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with sea breezes moderating coastal maxima amid typical early-summer humidity. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around afternoon convection or slight shifts in steering flow, supporting the market’s lead at 28°C (30.5%) and 27°C (20.0%) while capping higher outcomes below 12% combined. Historical June averages of 24–27°C provide context, yet traders weigh the narrow resolution window and potential for localized warming or cooling tied to wind patterns and cloud timing. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.