Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 22°C high in Cape Town on April 16, with 20–23°C outcomes tightly clustered amid inherent forecast uncertainty from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. A cold front sweeping through on April 15 has introduced cooler air masses, scattered showers, and partly cloudy skies, suppressing peak temperatures below April climatological averages of around 23–24°C. SAWS's latest extended outlook describes "cool to warm" conditions with isolated precipitation, projecting maxima near 21°C, while ensemble models show subdued peaks due to reduced insolation from cloud cover and southerly winds. Key differentiators include shower timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, prolonged overcast pushes toward 20°C—with final SAWS advisories and real-time observations expected to sharpen resolution tomorrow.