Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong cold front making landfall over Cape Town on April 17, per South African Weather Service advisories, ushering in post-frontal cooling with southerly winds, showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-teens Celsius on April 19—well below seasonal norms of 22–23°C. Forecast models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble spreads of 14–18°C, differentiating outcomes through variables such as clearing timing (favoring 17–18°C with more sun) versus lingering low cloud and drizzle (pulling toward 14–15°C). With odds tightly clustered around 16°C (29.5%) as the slight leader, traders anticipate realistic uncertainty ahead of SAWS updates and overnight model refreshes resolving the peak high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
18°C 22%
15°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
20%
16°C
26%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
6%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
18°C 22%
15°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$195 Объем
1%
13°C
$26 Объем
3%
14°C
$0 Объем
22%
15°C
$0 Объем
20%
16°C
$0 Объем
26%
17°C
$0 Объем
19%
18°C
$0 Объем
22%
19°C
$20 Объем
6%
20°C
$24 Объем
4%
21°C
$36 Объем
1%
22°C or higher
$159 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong cold front making landfall over Cape Town on April 17, per South African Weather Service advisories, ushering in post-frontal cooling with southerly winds, showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-teens Celsius on April 19—well below seasonal norms of 22–23°C. Forecast models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble spreads of 14–18°C, differentiating outcomes through variables such as clearing timing (favoring 17–18°C with more sun) versus lingering low cloud and drizzle (pulling toward 14–15°C). With odds tightly clustered around 16°C (29.5%) as the slight leader, traders anticipate realistic uncertainty ahead of SAWS updates and overnight model refreshes resolving the peak high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$459Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong cold front making landfall over Cape Town on April 17, per South African Weather Service advisories, ushering in post-frontal cooling with southerly winds, showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-teens Celsius on April 19—well below seasonal norms of 22–23°C. Forecast models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble spreads of 14–18°C, differentiating outcomes through variables such as clearing timing (favoring 17–18°C with more sun) versus lingering low cloud and drizzle (pulling toward 14–15°C). With odds tightly clustered around 16°C (29.5%) as the slight leader, traders anticipate realistic uncertainty ahead of SAWS updates and overnight model refreshes resolving the peak high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$459Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong cold front making landfall over Cape Town on April 17, per South African Weather Service advisories, ushering in post-frontal cooling with southerly winds, showers, and persistent cloud cover that suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-teens Celsius on April 19—well below seasonal norms of 22–23°C. Forecast models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble spreads of 14–18°C, differentiating outcomes through variables such as clearing timing (favoring 17–18°C with more sun) versus lingering low cloud and drizzle (pulling toward 14–15°C). With odds tightly clustered around 16°C (29.5%) as the slight leader, traders anticipate realistic uncertainty ahead of SAWS updates and overnight model refreshes resolving the peak high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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