Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 22?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,620 Объем
$80,620 Объем
22 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,620 Объем
$80,620 Объем
22 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$5,158 Объем
No
17°C
$3,398 Объем
No
18°C
$3,537 Объем
No
19°C
$3,974 Объем
No
20°C
$4,757 Объем
No
21°C
$13,346 Объем
No
22°C
$10,121 Объем
No
23°C
$10,422 Объем
Yes
24°C
$8,200 Объем
No
25°C
$8,271 Объем
No
26°C or higher
$9,437 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$80,620Дата окончания
22 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$80,620Дата окончания
22 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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