Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 30°C, peaking in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. This aligns with recent forecast consensus from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected highs of 28-31°C following a warming trend seen in prior days (e.g., 31°C on May 10). Trader consensus at 100% on 30°C reflects verified real-time data from multiple urban stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured maximum. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a rare official revision from outlier station readings could shift it; final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 12?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,091 Объем
$85,091 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,091 Объем
$85,091 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
$13,203 Объем
No
28°C
$8,766 Объем
No
29°C
$6,495 Объем
No
30°C
$14,971 Объем
Yes
31°C
$11,457 Объем
No
32°C
$11,228 Объем
No
33°C
$6,218 Объем
No
34°C
$4,287 Объем
No
35°C
$2,135 Объем
No
36°C
$3,353 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$2,978 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 30°C, peaking in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. This aligns with recent forecast consensus from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected highs of 28-31°C following a warming trend seen in prior days (e.g., 31°C on May 10). Trader consensus at 100% on 30°C reflects verified real-time data from multiple urban stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured maximum. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a rare official revision from outlier station readings could shift it; final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 10, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Объем
$85,091Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:54 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 30°C, peaking in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. This aligns with recent forecast consensus from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected highs of 28-31°C following a warming trend seen in prior days (e.g., 31°C on May 10). Trader consensus at 100% on 30°C reflects verified real-time data from multiple urban stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured maximum. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a rare official revision from outlier station readings could shift it; final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$85,091Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:54 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 30°C, peaking in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. This aligns with recent forecast consensus from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected highs of 28-31°C following a warming trend seen in prior days (e.g., 31°C on May 10). Trader consensus at 100% on 30°C reflects verified real-time data from multiple urban stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured maximum. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a rare official revision from outlier station readings could shift it; final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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