Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 20?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 20?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$118,269 Объем
$118,269 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$118,269 Объем
$118,269 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$2,237 Объем
No
13°C
$2,034 Объем
No
14°C
$7,677 Объем
No
15°C
$1,866 Объем
No
16°C
$2,917 Объем
No
17°C
$14,270 Объем
No
18°C
$10,843 Объем
No
19°C
$18,697 Объем
No
20°C
$25,573 Объем
Yes
21°C
$15,264 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$16,890 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$118,269Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$118,269Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы