Traders assign near-certainty to a highest Dallas temperature of 92°F or higher on June 2, driven by verified observational data from National Weather Service stations showing peak readings well above this threshold under prevailing warm, high-pressure conditions. June climatology for north Texas, with typical daily maxima in the upper 80s to mid-90s, provides historical context for such outcomes when daytime heating combines with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Because the date has concluded, market-implied odds now track actual measurements rather than model projections, though final NOAA quality-controlled records could theoretically shift the exact maximum if post-processing adjustments occur.