Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,994 Объем
$34,994 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,994 Объем
$34,994 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$766 Объем
No
23°C
$150 Объем
No
24°C
$698 Объем
No
25°C
$710 Объем
No
26°C
$2,086 Объем
No
27°C
$3,954 Объем
No
28°C
$3,993 Объем
No
29°C
$3,483 Объем
No
30°C
$5,349 Объем
No
31°C
$6,179 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$7,625 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$34,994Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$34,994Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы