Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on April 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 15?
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
86°F or higher 10%
НОВОЕ
$12,415 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,415 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
30%
86°F or higher
10%
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
86°F or higher 10%
НОВОЕ
$12,415 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,415 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
67°F or below
$351 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$457 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$1,231 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$658 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$825 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$1,016 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$2,737 Объем
2%
80-81°F
$1,252 Объем
17%
82-83°F
$1,200 Объем
47%
84-85°F
$1,233 Объем
30%
86°F or higher
$1,457 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Объем
$12,415Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,415Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (46.5%) and 84-85°F (29.5%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 15, aligning closely with the latest National Weather Service forecast of 83°F at Houston Hobby Airport under partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge building high pressure over southeast Texas, suppressing widespread clouds and limiting precipitation chances to 20% for isolated showers or storms, while south-southeast winds around 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air. Recent observational data shows area highs in the upper 70s to low 80s over the past week, 3-5°F above the April climatological normal of 79°F. Model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports this warm bias through midday April 15, though minor forecast updates or unexpected convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F; monitor NWS advisories through afternoon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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