Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 72-73°F (29%) for Houston on April 19, closely trailed by 74-75°F (21%) and 70-71°F (19%), reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid an approaching cold front. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF project mid-70s highs after recent 80s warmth, driven by post-frontal northerly winds of 10-15 mph, lingering cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and low chances of scattered showers Saturday evening into Sunday. These factors cap daytime heating below climatological April norms of 81°F, though model spread on clearing timing—ECMWF slightly faster—differentiates the top bins. Updated NWS forecasts and new model runs Friday will sharpen resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on April 19?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 19?
72-73°F 29%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 29%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
65°F or below
$390 Объем
1%
66-67°F
$372 Объем
3%
68-69°F
$512 Объем
8%
70-71°F
$215 Объем
19%
72-73°F
$14 Объем
29%
74-75°F
$131 Объем
25%
76-77°F
$7 Объем
11%
78-79°F
$69 Объем
8%
80-81°F
$55 Объем
3%
82-83°F
$541 Объем
1%
84°F or higher
$250 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 72-73°F (29%) for Houston on April 19, closely trailed by 74-75°F (21%) and 70-71°F (19%), reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid an approaching cold front. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF project mid-70s highs after recent 80s warmth, driven by post-frontal northerly winds of 10-15 mph, lingering cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and low chances of scattered showers Saturday evening into Sunday. These factors cap daytime heating below climatological April norms of 81°F, though model spread on clearing timing—ECMWF slightly faster—differentiates the top bins. Updated NWS forecasts and new model runs Friday will sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Объем
$2,556Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 72-73°F (29%) for Houston on April 19, closely trailed by 74-75°F (21%) and 70-71°F (19%), reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid an approaching cold front. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF project mid-70s highs after recent 80s warmth, driven by post-frontal northerly winds of 10-15 mph, lingering cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and low chances of scattered showers Saturday evening into Sunday. These factors cap daytime heating below climatological April norms of 81°F, though model spread on clearing timing—ECMWF slightly faster—differentiates the top bins. Updated NWS forecasts and new model runs Friday will sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,556Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 72-73°F (29%) for Houston on April 19, closely trailed by 74-75°F (21%) and 70-71°F (19%), reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid an approaching cold front. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF project mid-70s highs after recent 80s warmth, driven by post-frontal northerly winds of 10-15 mph, lingering cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and low chances of scattered showers Saturday evening into Sunday. These factors cap daytime heating below climatological April norms of 81°F, though model spread on clearing timing—ECMWF slightly faster—differentiates the top bins. Updated NWS forecasts and new model runs Friday will sharpen resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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