Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 13°C (39%) in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 12°C (32%) and 14°C (20%), driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations of persistent very cloudy conditions and northerly winds capping daytime heating around midday peaks near 13°C. Differentiating factors hinge on cloud cover duration amid a stable cool air mass: unbroken overcast and reduced insolation limit maxima to 12°C, while afternoon partial clearing could boost shortwave radiation enough for 14°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show consensus on subdued boundary layer warming, below April climatological averages of 16°C. Monitor MGM hourly updates and official station data through evening for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
13°C 40%
12°C 31%
14°C 20%
15°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$25,811 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,811 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
31%
13°C
40%
14°C
20%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 40%
12°C 31%
14°C 20%
15°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$25,811 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,811 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$2,725 Объем
1%
11°C
$2,895 Объем
4%
12°C
$651 Объем
31%
13°C
$1,105 Объем
40%
14°C
$776 Объем
20%
15°C
$4,316 Объем
5%
16°C
$4,633 Объем
2%
17°C
$4,124 Объем
2%
18°C
$1,587 Объем
1%
19°C
$557 Объем
<1%
20°C or higher
$2,459 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 13°C (39%) in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 12°C (32%) and 14°C (20%), driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations of persistent very cloudy conditions and northerly winds capping daytime heating around midday peaks near 13°C. Differentiating factors hinge on cloud cover duration amid a stable cool air mass: unbroken overcast and reduced insolation limit maxima to 12°C, while afternoon partial clearing could boost shortwave radiation enough for 14°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show consensus on subdued boundary layer warming, below April climatological averages of 16°C. Monitor MGM hourly updates and official station data through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Объем
$25,811Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 13°C (39%) in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 12°C (32%) and 14°C (20%), driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations of persistent very cloudy conditions and northerly winds capping daytime heating around midday peaks near 13°C. Differentiating factors hinge on cloud cover duration amid a stable cool air mass: unbroken overcast and reduced insolation limit maxima to 12°C, while afternoon partial clearing could boost shortwave radiation enough for 14°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show consensus on subdued boundary layer warming, below April climatological averages of 16°C. Monitor MGM hourly updates and official station data through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,811Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 13°C (39%) in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 12°C (32%) and 14°C (20%), driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations of persistent very cloudy conditions and northerly winds capping daytime heating around midday peaks near 13°C. Differentiating factors hinge on cloud cover duration amid a stable cool air mass: unbroken overcast and reduced insolation limit maxima to 12°C, while afternoon partial clearing could boost shortwave radiation enough for 14°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show consensus on subdued boundary layer warming, below April climatological averages of 16°C. Monitor MGM hourly updates and official station data through evening for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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