Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows near 21–23°C on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light northerly flow, moderating Bosphorus sea breezes, and clear skies under high pressure. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 20–22°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather supporting limited diurnal cooling and minimal deviation from seasonal norms. These factors position 23°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities around that threshold, while cooler extremes below 20°C remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to verified minimum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 22 августа?
23°C 63%
21°C 40%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
18°C or below
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
63%
24°C
40%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
33%
23°C 63%
21°C 40%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
18°C or below
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
63%
24°C
40%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows near 21–23°C on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light northerly flow, moderating Bosphorus sea breezes, and clear skies under high pressure. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 20–22°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather supporting limited diurnal cooling and minimal deviation from seasonal norms. These factors position 23°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities around that threshold, while cooler extremes below 20°C remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to verified minimum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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