Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 15?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,857 Объем
$43,857 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,857 Объем
$43,857 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$660 Объем
No
24°C
$2,211 Объем
No
25°C
$2,541 Объем
No
26°C
$5,201 Объем
No
27°C
$12,464 Объем
Yes
28°C
$7,071 Объем
No
29°C
$4,844 Объем
No
30°C
$5,998 Объем
No
31°C
$2,021 Объем
No
32°C
$567 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$280 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$43,857Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$43,857Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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