Recent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles show Istanbul warming after heavy rains on September 23, with highs of 21–23°C expected on the 25th under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This pattern favors a daily maximum near 22°C, though small differences in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model bias keep the exact peak uncertain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42% implied probability for 21°C and 23% for 22°C, aligns with the central range of these short-range guidance runs ahead of final observational data on resolution day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 25 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 25 сентября?
21°C 61%
22°C 22%
20°C 21%
24°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
21%
21°C
61%
22°C
22%
23°C
7%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C или выше
2%
21°C 61%
22°C 22%
20°C 21%
24°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
17°C
$0 Объем
4%
18°C
$0 Объем
7%
19°C
$0 Объем
19%
20°C
$0 Объем
21%
21°C
$133 Объем
61%
22°C
$0 Объем
22%
23°C
$0 Объем
7%
24°C
$0 Объем
20%
25°C
$0 Объем
2%
26°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles show Istanbul warming after heavy rains on September 23, with highs of 21–23°C expected on the 25th under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This pattern favors a daily maximum near 22°C, though small differences in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model bias keep the exact peak uncertain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42% implied probability for 21°C and 23% for 22°C, aligns with the central range of these short-range guidance runs ahead of final observational data on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$133Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles show Istanbul warming after heavy rains on September 23, with highs of 21–23°C expected on the 25th under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This pattern favors a daily maximum near 22°C, though small differences in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model bias keep the exact peak uncertain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42% implied probability for 21°C and 23% for 22°C, aligns with the central range of these short-range guidance runs ahead of final observational data on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$133Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles show Istanbul warming after heavy rains on September 23, with highs of 21–23°C expected on the 25th under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This pattern favors a daily maximum near 22°C, though small differences in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model bias keep the exact peak uncertain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42% implied probability for 21°C and 23% for 22°C, aligns with the central range of these short-range guidance runs ahead of final observational data on resolution day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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