Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,925 Объем
$44,925 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,925 Объем
$44,925 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
26°C or below
$1,074 Объем
No
27°C
$1,388 Объем
No
28°C
$10,727 Объем
No
29°C
$5,140 Объем
No
30°C
$3,159 Объем
No
31°C
$2,176 Объем
No
32°C
$3,383 Объем
No
33°C
$4,075 Объем
No
34°C
$6,434 Объем
Yes
35°C
$3,508 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$3,860 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Объем
$44,925Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$44,925Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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