Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with NiMet and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–36°C amid variable low-level moisture and sea breeze influences. Recent NiMet bulletins highlight sunny mornings transitioning to possible afternoon thunderstorms over southern Nigeria, potentially capping highs at 32°C through increased cloud cover and convection, while clearer skies or delayed showers could push toward 36°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects at Murtala Muhammed International Airport station. April climatology averages 32°C highs, with recent days like April 10 reaching 35°C; intraday observations and updated NiMet releases today will likely sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
34°C 27%
32°C 26%
36°C 26%
31°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
26%
33°C
12%
34°C
27%
35°C
24%
36°C
26%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
4%
34°C 27%
32°C 26%
36°C 26%
31°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$234 Объем
1%
29°C
$189 Объем
9%
30°C
$23 Объем
8%
31°C
$6 Объем
12%
32°C
$6 Объем
26%
33°C
$6 Объем
12%
34°C
$6 Объем
27%
35°C
$25 Объем
24%
36°C
$6 Объем
26%
37°C
$6 Объем
8%
38°C or higher
$220 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with NiMet and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–36°C amid variable low-level moisture and sea breeze influences. Recent NiMet bulletins highlight sunny mornings transitioning to possible afternoon thunderstorms over southern Nigeria, potentially capping highs at 32°C through increased cloud cover and convection, while clearer skies or delayed showers could push toward 36°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects at Murtala Muhammed International Airport station. April climatology averages 32°C highs, with recent days like April 10 reaching 35°C; intraday observations and updated NiMet releases today will likely sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Объем
$728Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with NiMet and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–36°C amid variable low-level moisture and sea breeze influences. Recent NiMet bulletins highlight sunny mornings transitioning to possible afternoon thunderstorms over southern Nigeria, potentially capping highs at 32°C through increased cloud cover and convection, while clearer skies or delayed showers could push toward 36°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects at Murtala Muhammed International Airport station. April climatology averages 32°C highs, with recent days like April 10 reaching 35°C; intraday observations and updated NiMet releases today will likely sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$728Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with NiMet and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–36°C amid variable low-level moisture and sea breeze influences. Recent NiMet bulletins highlight sunny mornings transitioning to possible afternoon thunderstorms over southern Nigeria, potentially capping highs at 32°C through increased cloud cover and convection, while clearer skies or delayed showers could push toward 36°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects at Murtala Muhammed International Airport station. April climatology averages 32°C highs, with recent days like April 10 reaching 35°C; intraday observations and updated NiMet releases today will likely sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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