The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 20 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 20 июля?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,993 Объем
$63,993 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C или выше
Нет
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,993 Объем
$63,993 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$440 Объем
No
28°C
$4,032 Объем
No
29°C
$865 Объем
No
30°C
$883 Объем
No
31°C
$2,934 Объем
No
32°C
$7,373 Объем
No
33°C
$10,140 Объем
No
34°C
$6,011 Объем
No
35°C
$11,408 Объем
Yes
36°C
$10,713 Объем
No
37°C или выше
$9,194 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$63,993Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$63,993Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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