Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лагосе 18 апреля?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Объем
$223,428 Объем
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Объем
$223,428 Объем
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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