Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 Объем
$177,304 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 Объем
$177,304 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$68,649 Объем
Yes
29°C
$12,734 Объем
No
30°C
$9,869 Объем
No
31°C
$9,912 Объем
No
32°C
$13,344 Объем
No
33°C
$15,262 Объем
No
34°C
$12,964 Объем
No
35°C
$10,705 Объем
No
36°C
$9,086 Объем
No
37°C
$6,393 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$8,387 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Объем
$177,304Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$177,304Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы