Recent Met Office guidance and European ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C across London under partly cloudy skies and light south-southeasterly flow, anchoring trader consensus at exactly 21 °C. Official temperature observations, recorded at standard Met Office sites using calibrated instruments, currently align with this narrow range, leaving little room for deviation once the daily highest is confirmed. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide climatological context, but the current stable synoptic pattern and absence of strong insolation or advection limit upside potential. The only realistic challenges would involve unexpected convective bursts or slight shifts in cloud cover timing that alter the precise peak recorded at the official stations before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on June 15?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$165,776 Объем
$165,776 Объем
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$165,776 Объем
$165,776 Объем
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent Met Office guidance and European ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C across London under partly cloudy skies and light south-southeasterly flow, anchoring trader consensus at exactly 21 °C. Official temperature observations, recorded at standard Met Office sites using calibrated instruments, currently align with this narrow range, leaving little room for deviation once the daily highest is confirmed. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide climatological context, but the current stable synoptic pattern and absence of strong insolation or advection limit upside potential. The only realistic challenges would involve unexpected convective bursts or slight shifts in cloud cover timing that alter the precise peak recorded at the official stations before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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