High pressure building over southern England is driving settled, sunny conditions for London on June 19, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C according to Met Office and ensemble guidance. This creates tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes because forecast maxima sit at the boundary where small differences in timing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Official resolution relies on the highest reading at an approved Met Office station, where urban heat-island effects and precise wind direction add further variability. Latest model runs show limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on June 19?
Highest temperature in London on June 19?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$199,939 Объем
$199,939 Объем
19 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$199,939 Объем
$199,939 Объем
19 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$9,724 Объем
No
27°C
$8,531 Объем
No
28°C
$18,484 Объем
No
29°C
$33,328 Объем
No
30°C
$28,282 Объем
Yes
31°C
$31,863 Объем
No
32°C
$26,431 Объем
No
33°C
$19,614 Объем
No
34°C
$6,635 Объем
No
35°C
$13,929 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$3,118 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over southern England is driving settled, sunny conditions for London on June 19, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C according to Met Office and ensemble guidance. This creates tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes because forecast maxima sit at the boundary where small differences in timing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Official resolution relies on the highest reading at an approved Met Office station, where urban heat-island effects and precise wind direction add further variability. Latest model runs show limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ET
Объем
$199,939Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over southern England is driving settled, sunny conditions for London on June 19, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C according to Met Office and ensemble guidance. This creates tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes because forecast maxima sit at the boundary where small differences in timing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Official resolution relies on the highest reading at an approved Met Office station, where urban heat-island effects and precise wind direction add further variability. Latest model runs show limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$199,939Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
High pressure building over southern England is driving settled, sunny conditions for London on June 19, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C according to Met Office and ensemble guidance. This creates tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes because forecast maxima sit at the boundary where small differences in timing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Official resolution relies on the highest reading at an approved Met Office station, where urban heat-island effects and precise wind direction add further variability. Latest model runs show limited spread around this range, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы