Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on June 4?
Highest temperature in London on June 4?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$304,875 Объем
$304,875 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$304,875 Объем
$304,875 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$3,003 Объем
No
14°C
$1,510 Объем
No
15°C
$10,558 Объем
No
16°C
$18,325 Объем
No
17°C
$42,838 Объем
No
18°C
$38,924 Объем
No
19°C
$64,135 Объем
Yes
20°C
$81,186 Объем
No
21°C
$33,691 Объем
No
22°C
$5,403 Объем
No
23°C or higher
$5,303 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$304,875Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$304,875Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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