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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?

апр. 17

апр. 18

апр. 19

апр. 17

апр. 18

апр. 19

74°F or higher 39%

70-71°F 25%

72-73°F 22%

68-69°F 14%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

74°F or higher 39%

70-71°F 25%

72-73°F 22%

68-69°F 14%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

55°F or below

$1,020 Объем

<1%

56-57°F

$851 Объем

<1%

58-59°F

$862 Объем

<1%

60-61°F

$621 Объем

<1%

62-63°F

$487 Объем

1%

64-65°F

$374 Объем

1%

66-67°F

$290 Объем

6%

68-69°F

$306 Объем

14%

70-71°F

$303 Объем

25%

72-73°F

$412 Объем

22%

74°F or higher

$687 Объем

39%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for Los Angeles highs of 74°F or higher on April 19, reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-70s peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest. Recent observations through April 16 showed cooler-than-normal highs in the 60s due to persistent marine layer from the Pacific, but forecasts indicate thinning stratus and lighter onshore flow allowing greater diurnal heating under clear skies. Normal April highs hover around 72°F historically; key uncertainties include morning cloud burn-off timing and any Santa Ana-like gusts, with updated NOAA model runs expected April 18 potentially shifting odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,215
Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:36 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for Los Angeles highs of 74°F or higher on April 19, reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-70s peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest. Recent observations through April 16 showed cooler-than-normal highs in the 60s due to persistent marine layer from the Pacific, but forecasts indicate thinning stratus and lighter onshore flow allowing greater diurnal heating under clear skies. Normal April highs hover around 72°F historically; key uncertainties include morning cloud burn-off timing and any Santa Ana-like gusts, with updated NOAA model runs expected April 18 potentially shifting odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,215
Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:36 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «74°F or higher» с 39%, за ним следует «70-71°F» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?» — «74°F or higher» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «70-71°F» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.