Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 40°C (35%) or 41°C (29%) in Lucknow on April 16, slightly outpacing the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of 39°C maximum under clear skies, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 1-2°C upside from enhanced solar heating. Recent observations indicate a sharp uptrend, with April 13's 36.1°C rising toward 39°C amid persistent clear conditions, low humidity (20-60%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative forcing and wide diurnal range (min ~23°C). Differentiating factors include possible afternoon haze suppressing peaks versus dry soils amplifying surface heating; final resolution hinges on Lucknow Airport station readings, with IMD's April 15 update potentially shifting odds before observations close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
40°C 36%
41°C 30%
39°C 17%
42°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
17%
40°C
36%
41°C
30%
42°C
12%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
40°C 36%
41°C 30%
39°C 17%
42°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
37°C or below
$110 Объем
2%
38°C
$54 Объем
5%
39°C
$335 Объем
17%
40°C
$38 Объем
36%
41°C
$137 Объем
30%
42°C
$55 Объем
12%
43°C
$90 Объем
3%
44°C
$84 Объем
2%
45°C
$181 Объем
1%
46°C
$231 Объем
1%
47°C or higher
$230 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 40°C (35%) or 41°C (29%) in Lucknow on April 16, slightly outpacing the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of 39°C maximum under clear skies, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 1-2°C upside from enhanced solar heating. Recent observations indicate a sharp uptrend, with April 13's 36.1°C rising toward 39°C amid persistent clear conditions, low humidity (20-60%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative forcing and wide diurnal range (min ~23°C). Differentiating factors include possible afternoon haze suppressing peaks versus dry soils amplifying surface heating; final resolution hinges on Lucknow Airport station readings, with IMD's April 15 update potentially shifting odds before observations close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$1,546Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 40°C (35%) or 41°C (29%) in Lucknow on April 16, slightly outpacing the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of 39°C maximum under clear skies, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 1-2°C upside from enhanced solar heating. Recent observations indicate a sharp uptrend, with April 13's 36.1°C rising toward 39°C amid persistent clear conditions, low humidity (20-60%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative forcing and wide diurnal range (min ~23°C). Differentiating factors include possible afternoon haze suppressing peaks versus dry soils amplifying surface heating; final resolution hinges on Lucknow Airport station readings, with IMD's April 15 update potentially shifting odds before observations close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,546Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 40°C (35%) or 41°C (29%) in Lucknow on April 16, slightly outpacing the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of 39°C maximum under clear skies, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 1-2°C upside from enhanced solar heating. Recent observations indicate a sharp uptrend, with April 13's 36.1°C rising toward 39°C amid persistent clear conditions, low humidity (20-60%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative forcing and wide diurnal range (min ~23°C). Differentiating factors include possible afternoon haze suppressing peaks versus dry soils amplifying surface heating; final resolution hinges on Lucknow Airport station readings, with IMD's April 15 update potentially shifting odds before observations close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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