Latest AEMET guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 28°C in Madrid on April 18 under a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus with 35% implied probability on 28°C ahead of 29°C (28%) and 27°C (21.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS runs over the past 48 hours, showing mean highs near 27.5–28.5°C amid rising regional temperatures since April 15. Tight odds stem from short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer heating and potential stray clouds, which could push peaks to 29°C with full insolation or cap at 27°C if coverage increases; new hourly AEMET updates expected April 17 will refine resolution criteria based on Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas observations. Historical April highs average 18–19°C, making this warm spell climatologically notable but not extreme.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 36%
29°C 28%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
36%
29°C
28%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 36%
29°C 28%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$190 Объем
<1%
23°C
$139 Объем
1%
24°C
$418 Объем
1%
25°C
$95 Объем
2%
26°C
$14 Объем
10%
27°C
$47 Объем
21%
28°C
$79 Объем
36%
29°C
$17 Объем
28%
30°C
$229 Объем
13%
31°C
$85 Объем
4%
32°C or higher
$465 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 28°C in Madrid on April 18 under a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus with 35% implied probability on 28°C ahead of 29°C (28%) and 27°C (21.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS runs over the past 48 hours, showing mean highs near 27.5–28.5°C amid rising regional temperatures since April 15. Tight odds stem from short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer heating and potential stray clouds, which could push peaks to 29°C with full insolation or cap at 27°C if coverage increases; new hourly AEMET updates expected April 17 will refine resolution criteria based on Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas observations. Historical April highs average 18–19°C, making this warm spell climatologically notable but not extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Объем
$1,773Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 28°C in Madrid on April 18 under a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus with 35% implied probability on 28°C ahead of 29°C (28%) and 27°C (21.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS runs over the past 48 hours, showing mean highs near 27.5–28.5°C amid rising regional temperatures since April 15. Tight odds stem from short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer heating and potential stray clouds, which could push peaks to 29°C with full insolation or cap at 27°C if coverage increases; new hourly AEMET updates expected April 17 will refine resolution criteria based on Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas observations. Historical April highs average 18–19°C, making this warm spell climatologically notable but not extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,773Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 28°C in Madrid on April 18 under a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus with 35% implied probability on 28°C ahead of 29°C (28%) and 27°C (21.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS runs over the past 48 hours, showing mean highs near 27.5–28.5°C amid rising regional temperatures since April 15. Tight odds stem from short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer heating and potential stray clouds, which could push peaks to 29°C with full insolation or cap at 27°C if coverage increases; new hourly AEMET updates expected April 17 will refine resolution criteria based on Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas observations. Historical April highs average 18–19°C, making this warm spell climatologically notable but not extreme.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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