Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 Объем
$98,229 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Нет
28°C
Да
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 Объем
$98,229 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$2,055 Объем
No
22°C
$2,569 Объем
No
23°C
$1,784 Объем
No
24°C
$2,731 Объем
No
25°C
$6,090 Объем
No
26°C
$13,984 Объем
No
27°C
$26,769 Объем
Нет
28°C
$14,090 Объем
Да
29°C
$12,982 Объем
Нет
30°C
$9,105 Объем
Нет
31°C или выше
$6,071 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$98,229Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$98,229Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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