Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 Объем
$108,621 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 Объем
$108,621 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$1,593 Объем
No
28°C
$4,207 Объем
No
29°C
$7,202 Объем
No
30°C
$13,883 Объем
No
31°C
$12,576 Объем
No
32°C
$19,769 Объем
Yes
33°C
$14,035 Объем
No
34°C
$16,312 Объем
No
35°C
$13,300 Объем
No
36°C
$3,846 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$1,898 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$108,621Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$108,621Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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