**Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Manila’s June 25 maximum reflects PAGASA’s official outlook of 26–32°C amid 30% rain chance, consistent with June’s southwest monsoon regime.** Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms typical of the season limit surface heating, while light southeasterly winds and high humidity moderate peaks near the long-term average of 32°C. Global model runs show minor spread on timing and coverage of convection, keeping 31°C and 33°C within a narrow implied-probability band. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations; any shift in forecast guidance or clearer skies could quickly rebalance the tightly clustered market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$66,908 Объем
$66,908 Объем
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$66,908 Объем
$66,908 Объем
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Manila’s June 25 maximum reflects PAGASA’s official outlook of 26–32°C amid 30% rain chance, consistent with June’s southwest monsoon regime.** Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms typical of the season limit surface heating, while light southeasterly winds and high humidity moderate peaks near the long-term average of 32°C. Global model runs show minor spread on timing and coverage of convection, keeping 31°C and 33°C within a narrow implied-probability band. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations; any shift in forecast guidance or clearer skies could quickly rebalance the tightly clustered market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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