Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18 (97% implied probability), aligning with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest extended forecast projecting maxima of 30–35°C in the surrounding Estado de México amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation at mid-atmospheric levels that has sustained a regional heat wave. Recent observations recorded 28°C highs on April 15–16, exceeding April's climatological average of 26–27°C, with minimal cloud cover and solar heating driving the warmth. Model consensus from SMN guidance supports this positioning, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains—scenarios like intensified showers from the approaching Frente Frío 45 or unmodeled cloud development could suppress peaks below 26°C, with updates expected in daily SMN briefings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 18?
26°C or higher 95.4%
25°C 1.7%
24°C 1.3%
19°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95.4%
25°C 1.7%
24°C 1.3%
19°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$608 Объем
1%
17°C
$454 Объем
<1%
18°C
$503 Объем
<1%
19°C
$577 Объем
1%
20°C
$646 Объем
1%
21°C
$2,069 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,395 Объем
<1%
23°C
$521 Объем
1%
24°C
$1,013 Объем
1%
25°C
$408 Объем
2%
26°C or higher
$803 Объем
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18 (97% implied probability), aligning with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest extended forecast projecting maxima of 30–35°C in the surrounding Estado de México amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation at mid-atmospheric levels that has sustained a regional heat wave. Recent observations recorded 28°C highs on April 15–16, exceeding April's climatological average of 26–27°C, with minimal cloud cover and solar heating driving the warmth. Model consensus from SMN guidance supports this positioning, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains—scenarios like intensified showers from the approaching Frente Frío 45 or unmodeled cloud development could suppress peaks below 26°C, with updates expected in daily SMN briefings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ET
Объем
$8,149Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18 (97% implied probability), aligning with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest extended forecast projecting maxima of 30–35°C in the surrounding Estado de México amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation at mid-atmospheric levels that has sustained a regional heat wave. Recent observations recorded 28°C highs on April 15–16, exceeding April's climatological average of 26–27°C, with minimal cloud cover and solar heating driving the warmth. Model consensus from SMN guidance supports this positioning, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains—scenarios like intensified showers from the approaching Frente Frío 45 or unmodeled cloud development could suppress peaks below 26°C, with updates expected in daily SMN briefings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,149Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on April 18 (97% implied probability), aligning with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest extended forecast projecting maxima of 30–35°C in the surrounding Estado de México amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation at mid-atmospheric levels that has sustained a regional heat wave. Recent observations recorded 28°C highs on April 15–16, exceeding April's climatological average of 26–27°C, with minimal cloud cover and solar heating driving the warmth. Model consensus from SMN guidance supports this positioning, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains—scenarios like intensified showers from the approaching Frente Frío 45 or unmodeled cloud development could suppress peaks below 26°C, with updates expected in daily SMN briefings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы